Evika Inventory Intelligence

Overview

Evika Inventory Intelligence sits above operational inventory data as a decision-support layer — analysing demand patterns and lead times to recommend what to stock, how much to order and when, instead of just recording stock movement after the fact.

Key capabilities

• Demand analysis and demand patterns
• Consumption-rate (DRR) analysis
• Minimum stock level recommendations
• Lead-time-aware planning
• Safety stock calculation
• Replenishment and suggested order quantity
• Shortage prediction
• Explainable recommendations

Functional areas

• Demand forecasting
• Seasonal demand analysis
• Inventory coverage
• Order timing
• Simulation / forward inventory planning
• Purchasing decision support

Business benefits

• Fewer stockouts and less overstock
• Purchasing decisions backed by data, not guesswork
• Clearer visibility into what's actually driving demand
• Recommendations you can explain, not a black box

Demand Intelligence

• Analyses actual movement history rather than relying only on the current stock balance
• Blends recent and longer-term consumption windows so a short-term spike or lull doesn't distort the picture
• Recognises slow-moving and intermittent items instead of treating every SKU the same way
• Keeps the demand rate behind every recommendation visible, not buried in a black box

DRR & Demand Pattern Analysis

• Establishes a base daily run rate from usable demand history across multiple time windows
• Compares recent and historical consumption to catch a genuine shift in demand early
• Classifies demand behaviour — regular, intermittent or seasonal — rather than one formula for everything
• Exposes the demand values actually used, so planners can verify the number behind the recommendation

Seasonality

• Detects and models seasonal demand where enough history exists for the item
• Applies a seasonal uplift only when the item is currently in season or the planning horizon overlaps the upcoming one
• Avoids overstating stock outside the item's relevant seasonal window
• Shows when and why seasonality changed the effective demand rate used

Lead-Time-Aware Planning

• Calculates future stock requirements using the time actually required to replenish the item
• Resolves lead time through a fallback chain — item/SKU override, then manufacturer, then a tenant or system default
• Prevents healthy stock today from hiding a shortage that will hit before the next replenishment arrives
• Shows the lead time used in each recommendation and which level of the fallback chain it came from

Minimum Stock Level & Safety Stock

• Derives suggested MSL from effective demand, lead-time demand and a safety-stock allowance
• Keeps the current MSL out of its own calculation, so the recommendation doesn't reinforce a stale number
• Adds safety stock as protection against variability beyond expected lead-time demand, calculated separately from the base demand rate
• Recalculates as demand conditions change, and shows the arithmetic behind the suggested value

Replenishment & Stock Projection

• Recommends how much to order after weighing current stock, expected receipts and forward demand together
• Projects the stock position expected at the point the next replenishment would arrive, not just today's snapshot
• Accounts for stock already on order so it doesn't recommend duplicate supply
• Flags when an incoming quantity won't actually be enough to cover the next replenishment horizon

Shortage & Overstock Risk

• Flags items at risk of running out before the next viable receipt
• Highlights insufficient planned replenishment even when an open order already exists
• Surfaces excessive coverage and potential overstock, not just shortage risk
• Prioritises recommendations by business impact so planners work the list that matters first

Explainable Recommendations

• Shows the demand windows used, and the base and effective DRR calculated from them
• Shows the demand pattern and any seasonal adjustment applied
• Shows the lead time used and which fallback level it came from
• Shows lead-time demand, safety stock and the resulting suggested MSL
• Shows expected receipts and the suggested order quantity — and explains why the recommendation was produced

From movement history to a replenishment decision

Integration with Evika One

Evika Inventory Intelligence works with inventory and movement data from Evika ERP, and feeds Ask Evika the signals behind its stock-risk predictions.